International Journal of Current Microbiology and Applied Sciences (IJCMAS)
IJCMAS is now DOI (CrossRef) registered Research Journal. The DOIs are assigned to all published IJCMAS Articles.
Index Copernicus ICI Journals Master List 2022 - IJCMAS--ICV 2022: 95.28 For more details click here
National Academy of Agricultural Sciences (NAAS) : NAAS Score: *5.38 (2020) [Effective from January 1, 2020] For more details click here

Login as a Reviewer

See Guidelines to Authors
Current Issues
Download Publication Certificate

Original Research Articles                      Volume : 10, Issue:3, March, 2021

PRINT ISSN : 2319-7692
Online ISSN : 2319-7706
Issues : 12 per year
Publisher : Excellent Publishers
Email : /
Editor-in-chief: Dr.M.Prakash
Index Copernicus ICV 2018: 95.39
NAAS RATING 2020: 5.38

Int.J.Curr.Microbiol.App.Sci.2021.10(3): 780-790

Prediction of Rainfall at Different Probability Levels for Estimation of Drought Pattern in Etawah District of Uttar Pradesh
Avanish Yadav1*, H. C. Singh2, Awadhesh Kumar3 and Anil Kumar4
1Department of Soil and Water conservation, 4Department of Horticulture, Sam Higginbottom University of Agriculture, Technology & Sciences, Prayagraj (U.P.), India
2Dr. Bhim Rao Ambedkar College of Agricultural Engineering & Technology, Etawah (U.P.), India
3BRDPG College, Deoria (U.P.), India
*Corresponding author

Droughts happen when there is not enough rainfall for a longer period of time. When there is so little precipitation (rainfall, snow etc.) the whole region starts to dry out. Sometimes a drought take decades to develop fully and they are very difficult to predict. Rainfall data of 15 years (2001-2015) based on standard weeks was analyzed for Etawah district of Uttar Pradesh. The monthly maximum rainfall at different probability levels was calculated using Gumbels Probability method. The daily rainfall data series was divided into annual, seasonal, monthly and weekly data series. A year was divided into three seasons i.e. monsoon (June to September), winter (October to January) and summer (February to May). The last day of every year (365th day) and last two days of a leap year are accounted as 52nd week. It was observed that the maximum number of drought weeks during the 15 years period was 15 times during the 19th week while, the minimum numbers of drought weeks was 6 times which were found in the 33th and 35th standard week. The maximum number of surplus weeks during the 15 years period was 4 during 27th, 32th and 34th week however, the minimum numbers of surplus weeks i.e. 0 were found in the 6th and 19th standard week of the year.

Keywords: Rainfall, Probability level, Drought pattern, Etawah

Download this article as Download

How to cite this article:

Avanish Yadav, H. C. Singh, Awadhesh Kumar and Anil Kumar. 2021. Prediction of Rainfall at Different Probability Levels for Estimation of Drought Pattern in Etawah District of Uttar Pradesh.Int.J.Curr.Microbiol.App.Sci. 10(3): 780-790. doi:
Copyright: This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike license.