National Academy of Agricultural Sciences (NAAS)
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PRINT ISSN : 2319-7692 Online ISSN : 2319-7706 Issues : 12 per year Publisher : Excellent Publishers Email : editorijcmas@gmail.com / submit@ijcmas.com Editor-in-chief: Dr.M.Prakash Index Copernicus ICV 2018: 95.39 NAAS RATING 2020: 5.38 |
In India, the productivity of various crops is unstable mainly due to climatic factors, price volatility and resource availability. The pre-harvest forecasting of the crop productivity is a major priority to know about the market demand of the crops. The present study focused the ability of pre-harvest forecasting performance of stepwise regression method and the ARIMA method. In stepwise regression method, two approaches were developed namely (1) using week-wise original weather variable and (2) weather indices using correlation coefficient as weight. Among the two approaches studied, the correlation coefficient as a weighted approach had more expedient to pre-harvest forecasting of groundnut. Eventually, after the good interrogation, stepwise regression method had better puissance than the ARIMA method for forecasting the groundnut productivity in the Junagadh district of Gujarat.
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