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International Journal of Current Microbiology and Applied Sciences (IJCMAS)
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National Academy of Agricultural Sciences (NAAS)
NAAS Score: *5.38 (2019)
[Effective from January 1, 2019]
For more details click here

ICV 2017: 100.00
Index Copernicus ICI Journals Master List 2017 - IJCMAS--ICV 2017: 100.00
For more details click here

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PRINT ISSN : 2319-7692
Online ISSN : 2319-7706
Issues : 12 per year
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Editor-in-chief: Dr.M.Prakash
Index Copernicus ICV 2017: 100.00
NAAS RATING 2018: 5.38

Int.J.Curr.Microbiol.App.Sci.2017.6(12): 1995-2005
DOI: https://doi.org/10.20546/ijcmas.2017.612.229


Verification of Medium Range Weather Forecast for Udham Singh Nagar Region in order to Improve Methodology Followed
Shivani Kothiyal1*, R.K. Singh1, A.S. Nain1, Himani Padalia2 and Gaurav Chaturvedi1
1Department of Agrometeorology, Govind Ballabh Pant University of Agriculture and Technology, Pantnagar 263145, Uttarakhand, India
2District Consultant, Rajasthan Grameen Ajeevika Vikas Parishad, Ministry of Rural Development, Kota 324001, Rajasthan, India
*Corresponding author
Abstract:

Medium range weather forecast was provided by IMD using T-80 model at district level for five days in advance. The forecast was provided for seven weather parameters and accurate forecasting of these continues to be a major challenge for scientific community. The forecast was provided biweekly, Tuesday and Friday while the observed data for the same is collected from IMD approved agrometeorological observatory situated at different SAUs. IMD criteria was followed for assignment of correct, usable and unusable percent and different scores along with statistical interpretation are calculated to test the weather forecast for the weather parameters during 2016-17. The rainfall represented an average good forecast over the year. The overall cloud forecast for all the seasons was good with high correct percent for all the seasons. The wind speed and direction depicted poor forecast for all the seasons over the year. Maximum temperature had a high usable percent over the year. The overall forecast for minimum temperature was slightly good. FAR was the correct skill score for False alarms while FAR in combination with POD represented a reliable skill score for rainfall forecast. The chi square values too provided with reliable results for the temperature forecast.


Keywords: Medium range weather forecast, Forecast verification, Skill scores, Statistical interpretation.
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How to cite this article:

Shivani Kothiyal, R.K. Singh, A.S. Nain, Himani Padalia and Gaurav Chaturvedi. 2017. Verification of Medium Range Weather Forecast for Udham Singh Nagar Region in order to Improve Methodology Followed.Int.J.Curr.Microbiol.App.Sci. 6(12): 1995-2005. doi: https://doi.org/10.20546/ijcmas.2017.612.229