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PRINT ISSN : 2319-7692 Online ISSN : 2319-7706 Issues : 12 per year Publisher : Excellent Publishers Email : editorijcmas@gmail.com / submit@ijcmas.com Editor-in-chief: Dr.M.Prakash Index Copernicus ICV 2018: 95.39 NAAS RATING 2020: 5.38 |
The present study was carried out to learn the trends in area and production of jasmine in Andhra Pradesh, India for a period of twenty years i.e., from 1998-1999 to 2017-2018. The data was tried to fit in growth models such as linear, compound, inverse, quadratic, cubic, logarithmic, s-curve, growth, power and exponential functions. Inverse curve was found to be the best fitted model based on highest and least RMSE for area and for production. Based on this trend of forecast, the area under next three years under jasmine i.e., for 2019, 2020 and 2021 was 1815.33 ha, 1705.74 ha and 1596.26 ha respectively, while the production of jasmine in the study area would be 19941 MT for 2019, 20332.34 MT for 2020 and 20722.97 MT for 2021. The compound growth rate of area of jasmine was decreasing at a rate of 2.9 per cent CGR whereas production was increasing at a rate of 2.2 per cent.
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